One step closer to a US war against Iran
by Mark Pyruz
Judging by the fact the West's "offer" to Iran at Istanbul appears to have been little more than a demand it surrender 90% of its enrichment stock, there is little doubt this was fully intended to be rejected by the Iranians. Three reasons can be cited for this course of action.
The first reason is the West has fallen for its own rhetoric, believing Iran is economically and politically on the ropes following the latest imposition of sanctions; combined with the mistaken notion there is a viable internal challenge to the political establishment inside Iran. This is for the most part based on flawed analyses by sources that continue to prove themselves unreliable.
Second, the West's demand at Istanbul is something of a short-sighted payback for the collapse of Lebanon's government, which was set in motion by Hezbollah and its allies on the cusp of politically motivated STL proceedings. This is all related to a continuous game of leverage being played out between the Western axis and the resistance camp.
Third, this action taken by the West is now the most brazen manifestation of Dennis Ross' previously documented plan of garnering support among powerful players against Iran by means of bad faith negotiating. As set out by Ross, this is to be accomplished by providing Iran with "offers" they are fully intended to reject. The object of this exercise is to promote ever more coercive policies against Iran on a steady drumbeat to war.
Two questions are raised by this recent turn of events. One is the extent of geopolitical capital expended by the US to get Russia and China on board (it must be quite extravagant). And the other is actually a variable on how long it will take for this US policy to reach its determined end state: war with the Islamic Republic of Iran. Before Istanbul, this author predicted the chances of a US imposed war on Iran at being roughly 50/50 over a time period covering the next four years. After Istanbul, these odds have increased to that of being likely during the same time span. Nevertheless, this represents a high risk undertaking for the US and global economy.