Sunday, June 14, 2009

The Real Votes: Mousavi at 52%

A reliable source at Iran’s Ministry of Interior today has told Uskowi on Iran that the real final vote count for Mousavi and Ahmadinejad was as follows:

Mousavi: 19,075,623 = 52%
Ahmadinejad: 13,387,104 = 37%

Uskowi on Iran is also advised that the ministry officials called Mousavi’s campaign HQ in Tehran after the final tally and informed them of Mousavi’s win and telling them that the results would be officially released within the hour by the director of the ministry’s electoral commission.

Half an hour after the phone call from the Ministry to Mousavi’s campaign HQ, however, IRNA, the official Iran’s news agency, announced that Ahmadinejad was leading the pack by 69% of 5,150,188 votes counted by then. IRNA’s official release also said the votes counted by then constituted 19.43% of the total votes cast.

According to IRNA’s own calculations, the total vote cast was 26,520,021 or a 57% turnout of the 46.2 million eligible voters. But at day’s end, the turnout was changed to 80%, with Ahmadinejad receiving nearly 24 million votes!

It is clear now that in the period between the phone call to Mousavi’s office and IRNA‘s first announcement, the officials changed the vote counts to steal Mousavi’s victory and to prevent a devastating defeat for Ahmadinjad in the very first round of the election. We have referred to this move as a coup. A designation that fits the crime.

The real looser of the election is the Islamic Republic. Unlike shah’s government, or those of the neighboring Arab world, the Islamic Republic claims moral high ground for maintaining a democratic process in choosing its president. This year, Islamic Republic’s own watchdog body qualified four candidates out of nearly 500 who applied, and many qualified persons who did not run fearing the certain disqualification by the government. Then the Islamic Republic told the Iranian people that they were free to choose between the four candidates. The youths came out in droves to vote for change. But the government steals the election from a "trustworthy" former premier, one of the four who was deemed loyal enough.

These are sad days for Iran, but the real looser is the Islamic Republic; loosing its legitimacy and its moral claim to an Islamic democracy.


Paul Iddon said...

didn't Ahmadinejad learn anything from the 1953 coup???

Anonymous said...

Here is an interview conducted by the left-wing junge Welt: "Wahlkarneval in Iran." Its correspondent, for instance, interviewed a street sweeper who cleans up after green rallies of the young Mousavi fans. Perhaps b will correct my translation if it's incorrect.
My translation: "It is the 'children of the rich, who already have everything they want and still can't get enough,' that are peacefully occupying the streets here day after day from late afternoon to night, till 2 to 3 AM, to 'Change Iran,' says Hojjat, a worker who must clean up the mess left by the youth in the streets at the end of the night, with a sour face. Here, in the slope of the nearby Elburz Mountains, he knows the affluent of the city at home. 'And those people up there vote for Mousavi.' He is, like the majority of the population, happy with President Ahmadinejad, because he does things for the whole country, first of all, for the poor. 'Ahmadinejad speaks his mind because he is not interested in the US and the UN, which are anyway good for nothing.".

Would it be impertinent to ask for some evidence? Such a statement would be quite interesting, in light of the Interior Minister's official statement.

Anonymous said...

Rafsanjani is behind it all. His eminence is in danger.

I dont think much will happen

a couple of weeks of demos, and then back to normal....

am old enough to know, has been seen before

SPWeston said...

Where are the ballots? Where are the people who counted ballots and sent totals to the ministry? Where's the national tally by voting place?

That's the real record of the crime.

If they destroy those things, that, too, will leave a record.

Nader Uskowi said...

Paul, it's ironic that they're going against a person who embodied the Islamic revolution, serving as prime minister during the Khomeini era and leading the government during eight years of war with Iraq. They are pulling the rug from under their own government’s legitimacy.

Anon, it was not one of the members of the opposition who was running for president; it was a former premier of Khomeini, credited with managing the war years. The millions of young Mousavi fans came with different backgrounds. What united them was a desire for change. They wanted to see a better life ahead of them; they wanted to see their government to lower inflation from the unbearable levels these days; they wanted to see lowering of the current unbearable unemployment, especially among the youths. They were not anti-regime; they would not have participated in the process if they were. They were not following a radical leader that the regime, but a former premier chosen as one of the four trustworthy and loyal figures to run in the election. The street sweeper had figured it wrong, probably affected by the propaganda of Ahmadinejad machine.

The government can not hide the evidence for long. It will come out. Within the Interior Ministry work a large number of pro-Mousavi folks.

Anon 2, you might be right in the sense that after two weeks of demonstration, people would be forced to go back home/school and work. But your assumption of normalcy is premature. Islamic Republic, if it does not annul the election and have a new one, will not be normal ever. The whole generation of young folks who voted on Friday will not accept the legitimacy of this government.

Susan, the ballots according to law should be kept at the Interior Ministry. Hope they are not destroyed.

Anonymous said...

I dont believe the article at all,

sounds like disinformation tactic.

Anonymous said...

no reliable evidence for those numbers. There are som many rumers surfacing these days and I am dissapointed with the author who is spreading these rumers. Mousavi and reza'ee have officially filed complaints and we should expect transparent response to those complaints from the officials.

Nader Uskowi said...

I would not have published this post if I did not believe in the integrity and the knowledge of the source.