The International Institute for Strategic Studies, the influential British think tank and an authority on political-military conflict, reported today that evidence showed “beyond reasonable doubt” that Iran was seeking the capability to produce nuclear weapons and could make its first nuclear weapon in as little as one to two years if it wished.
The 128-page report on Iran’s nuclear, chemical and biological capabilities said that Iran’s nuclear program seemed to have been dented by Stuxnet computer worm. It also singled out industrial sabotage and Iran’s reliance on inefficient methods as contributing factor in the slow down of the nuclear program, but it said the program is advanced enough to have the capability of producing weapons in less than two years.
"The minimum timeline for the first weapon is over two years under the Pakistan method and one year for the batch method," the report said. Developing a means to deliver a nuclear weapon -- a missile -- added to the timeline, it said.
The report discounted concerns over Iran’s chemical and biological programs, founding no evidence that Iran had carried out chemical or biological weapons activities.