Thursday, September 9, 2010

Iran to Release Sarah Shourd, One of Three American Hikers - UPDATES

The Iranian Ministry of Culture and Islamic Guidance announced in Tehran that one of the three American hikers arrested near the Iraqi Kurdistan border in July 2009, would be released on Saturday. According to reports by various news agencies, the Iranian Mission to the UN has identified the American to be freed as Sarah Shourd.

Joshua Fattal, Shane Bauer and Sarah Shourd are being held in Tehran’s infamous Evin prison.

UPDATE: Tehran's Prosecutor General has told Iranian news agency ILNA that the Judiciary will NOT release Ms. Shourd on Saturday. Abbas Jaffari Doulatabadi, the prosecutor, said, "the judiciary dossier of the accused is not yet complete." Sarah Shourd was to be released on Saturday morning local time during a ceremony attended by senior officials of the Islamic Republic. The senior leaders in Iran have not confirmed or denied Tehran prosecutor's assertion that Ms. Shourd would not be released as planned.

UPDATE II: Iran’s official news agency IRNA has confirmed the reports that Sarah Shourd’s release has been called off. The cruel handling of Sarah’s release again brings into question of who’s in charge in Iran.

Iran launches Arabic iFilm channel

The Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting has launched a 24/7 Arabic-language network that airs Iranian-made movies and TV dramas to the viewers in the Arab World.

The new channel, named iFilm, was officially inaugurated on Thursday, marking Eid ul-Fitr, the celebration marking the end of the holy month of Ramadan. The channel's programs are currently being dubbed into Arabic in Syria, Lebanon and United Arab Emirates. The new satellite network will broadcast live quizzes on arts, backstage documentaries on films and ongoing productions, film reviews, short-length films and documentaries. The channel's target viewers would be around 300 million across the globe.

iFilm's film editing equipment and systems and archive of film records as well as its broadcasting equipment have been assembled by the IRIB World Service engineers and are totally automated.

The iFilm international channel will broadcast on Badr 4 (Arabsat), frequency: 12169 MHz, vertical polarization, symbol rate: 27500, FEC 3/4. It can also be received on Atlantic Bird 4A (Nilesat), frequency: 11393 MHz, vertical position, symbol rate: 27500, FEC 3/4; and Eutelsat W6, frequency: 11564 MHz, vertical position, symbol rate: 3214, FEC 3/4.

Source: PressTV

Turquoise Launches First Domestic Fund in Iran

Iran has launched its first domestic fund. Turquoise has posted this public statement below:

We are delighted to announce the launch of our first domestic equity fund, Firouzeh Mutual Investment Fund. The fund's focus is on investing in the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE), and it is licensed and regulated by the Securities and Exchange Organisation (SEO) of Iran.

Over the past 4 years, we have succeeded in raising and managing approximately $150 million of foreign capital. We currently manage over 90% of all foreign investment in the TSE. Domestically, our goal is to combine our international expertise with our successful track record of the past 4 years (over 100% return on investment) in order to offer world-class services to Iranian investors. The launch of our new fund is a major milestone in achieving this goal.

Firouzeh Mutual Investment Fund was launched on 1st August. $2.8 million was raised during the 10 day subscription period, which set a new record for a fund of this type. 90% of the capital was raised from individual investors which is the highest of any fund in Iran. The Iranian fund management industry is in its infancy. We believe that the industry contains tremendous potential, and look forward to contributing to its development.

Source: www.firouzehfund.com

Wednesday, September 8, 2010

Stoning Sentence Suspended

Iran has suspended the sentence of death by stoning for Sakineh Mohammadi Ashtiani, a woman convicted of adultery.

"The verdict regarding the extramarital affairs has stopped and it's being reviewed," Foreign Ministry Spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast told the state-run Press TV [Press TV, 8 September].

The suspension of the sentence comes after weeks of condemnation from around the world for the barbaric nature of the sentence.

Castro Criticizes Ahmadinejad’s Attitude on Israel

Cuban leader Fidel Castro has criticized Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad for denying the Holocaust. Castro told visiting Jeffrey Goldberg of the Atlantic that Iran could serve the cause of peace by “acknowledging the 'unique' history of anti-Semitism and trying to understand why Israelis fear for their existence" [The Atlantic, 8 September].

Castro, himself a fierce critic of Israel, told Goldberg in Havana that there is nothing that compares to the Holocaust and the Iranian government should understand that the Jews were expelled from their land, persecuted and mistreated all over the world.

Castro also told Goldberg that he had read his recent article on Iran and agreed with him that Israel and America were moving “precipitously and gratuitously” toward confrontation with Iran.

American sanctions and Israeli threats will not dissuade the Iranian leadership from pursuing nuclear weapons, Castro said. "This problem is not going to get resolved, because the Iranians are not going to back down in the face of threats.”

To read Goldberg’s original piece, please visit: http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2010/09/fidel-to-ahmadinejad/62566/

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

Iran Claims Gasoline Self-Sufficiency

The Iranian government announced today that its production of gasoline has reached over 66 million liters a day, making the country completely self-sufficient [Mehr News Agency, 7 September]. Iran was for decades importing more than a third of its gasoline needs from Europe and Asia. Faced with the sanctions imposed last month on the sale of gasoline to Iran, the government said it started a crash program to produce all its gasoline needs. The government spokesman did not explain why the country had not started such program decades earlier to avoid spending so much of its hard currency on gasoline imports.

For complete Mehr report in Farsi, please visit: http://www.mehrnews.com/fa/newsdetail.aspx?NewsID=1147692

Iran Defends Decision to Bar IAEA Inspectors

The director of Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI) said Tehran has the right to bar some UN inspectors from monitoring its nuclear facilities. Iran recently barred two inspectors from monitoring an atomic plant after they reported what they said were undeclared nuclear experiments. The IAEA, the international atomic monitoring agency, expressed alarm on Monday about Iran’s decision to bar its inspectors.

AEOI Director Ali Akbar Salehi said in Tehran that his government asked IAEA to replace the two inspectors and such request was within its rights [ISNA, 6 September]. The action brings the number of inspectors barred from Iran to over 40 in the past four years.

Monday, September 6, 2010

Mesbah Yazdi Lashes Out at Ahmadinejad’s Top Aide

By Nader Uskowi

Ayatollah Mesbah Yazdi, one of Iran’s most influential clerics and a hardline member of the powerful Assembly of Experts, lashed out at President Ahmadinejad’s chief of staff, Esfandiar Rahim Mashaie, for suggesting that an “Iranian School of Islam” should be the dominant ideology of the Islamic Republic. Speaking from Qum during an interview with ILNA on Sunday, Mesbah said such characterization of the Islamic Republic is in fact the elimination of Islam itself. Until recently, Mesbah was considered to be Ahmadinejad’s spiritual advisor.

“We are reaching a point that we are setting aside Islam and (worry) more about affordable housing, food and (such economic issues),” Mesbah said [ILNA, 5 September].

“Take the example of (former prime minister) Bazargan. At least he was not a hypocrite. He would openly say that ‘our priority is Iran, and Islam is only a means for Iran’s development’; but on the contrary the Imam (Khomeini) wanted Iran in service of Islam,” Mesbah added, raising the stakes in the heated debate on the “uniqueness” or lack of an Iranian version of Islam, and indirectly accusing Mashaie and his supporters, including Ahmadinejad, as hypocrite.

“Those who so believe follow pragmatic (philosophy), and we have seen in these past thirty years that those who subscribed to pragmatic thinking ended up being not true believers and those who say such things today are following that path.”

The complete interview in Farsi: http://www.ilna.ir/newsText.aspx?ID=146116

Sunday, September 5, 2010

PA Criticizes Remarks by Ahmadinejad

The Palestinian Authority lashed out Saturday at Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad over his remarks about the Israeli-Palestinian peace talks.

“[The Iranian president] who does not represent the Iranian people, who falsified elections and took power by fraud does not have the right to talk about Palestine, its president or its representatives," Palestinian Authority spokesman Nabil Abu Rodeina said [Wafa News Agency, 4 September].

"We are defending our national rights and interests and will not allow anyone to threaten us or question the legitimacy of the Palestinian Liberation Organization led by President Mahmud Abbas,” Rodeina added.

President Ahmadinejad had said on Friday, during his speech at the Quds Day, that the talks that began on Thursday in Washington lacked legitimacy as the Palestinian leader (Mahmud Abbas) had no right to make representation and concessions in the name of Palestinians.

"Who gave them the right to sell a piece of Palestinian land? The people of Palestine and the people of the region will not allow them to sell even an inch of Palestinian soil to the enemy. The negotiations are stillborn and doomed," Ahmadinejad had said.

Saturday, September 4, 2010

Sanctions on Iran and Its Effects (Part I)

By Amir Taheri

What are sanctions? They can be best described as economic arm-twisting to reach a certain goal. While most can agree on its purpose what has been debated over the years are its effects and it impacts. Are they able to change minds and directions? Cases of western sanctions being used include Cuba, Iraq, North Korea, Sudan, Syria, and of course Iran.

There have been claims that they are "torn pieces of paper" as president Ahmadinejad often says. Other officials have been more pragmatic and said that while sanctions will have a negative effect in the beginning, in the long run Iran will come out ahead. Lets analyze that a little further. Could there be truth to this statement.

We know that sanctions have definitely had an impact. Reports from varies news agencies have claimed Iranian businesses having difficulties sourcing parts or equipment but in the end they purchase their wish lists but with a higher price. Iranians have millennia of experience as traders and today practically anything can be bought whether American, European or even Israeli if needed. You just need the right front companies and delivery ports in place. Iran famously received many spare parts and equipment upgrades during its war with Iraq in the 80s from Israel, showing to be quite pragmatic in its economics when needed.

What makes the impact of sanctions vary amongst target countries is the size of the targeted market and its industrial base of course. Iranian officials have said their plan is to reduce imports and increase home production to meet demand aiming for as much self-sufficiency as possible. Now if Cuba or any other sanctioned country were to claim this, one might have reason to have doubts. But Iran is truly in a unique situation with having a population nearing 80 million (above 70 million is considered economical for a home industry) and an industrial base that is able to produce a wide variety of products, no other current targeted sanctioned regime approaches this.

Starting in the war years of the 80s, Iran due to funds being targeted to the war front and hard currency needed for military imports, Iran started a massive "do it at home program". Necessity is truly the mother of all inventions and by the 90s Iran was practically producing most of its needs albeit with a lower quality and higher costs than international products. On many of my trips in the late 90s I was amazed how much of the product offerings were "made in Iran". Surprisingly, new consumer items that would showcase in the US market would be instantly copied and sold to a receptive home market hungry for a piece of the outside world. This was all of course supported by low oil prices at the time and heavily restricted imports and high tariffs on foreign products by president Khatami. What changed was the beginning of the oil price surge. And with the entry of president Ahmadinejad, ironically a populist president, further reduced tariffs that had partially begun under the later years of Khatimi's presidency. Local production was reduced and we have a situation today where many Iranian brands are even outsource their manufacturing to China. These include many home appliance brands.

Today, faced with having to pay two to three times the normal price for any standard product like auto parts, home electronics, mechanical machines and other vital items why would any sane importer go through front companies, higher interest rates, lack of obtaining letters of credit, lost time and simply being treated like a terrorist for wanting to import a car alternator. Local manufactures that were pushed out of the market in the early 2000s due to lower import tariffs will be happy to again sell their products and maybe even now for a higher price than what they would normally have been charging for. In the long run prices will come down as more domestic suppliers aim for a piece of the pie. Not to forget that Iran has a powerful dragon patron as well. There have been numerous reports lately of massive multi-billion Chinese investments. Apart from subway expansions, steel factories, railroad projects, and shipping there have been billions invested in those areas where sanctions have been targeted, gasoline imports. Plans are progressing for complete self-sustaining gasoline refineries coming online in 2 years with funds from China. Additionally, it has been said that Iran has been stockpiling gasoline and enough is stored for a 2-year supply. With this stockpile in place, even though providers from China and Turkey have guaranteed future gasoline supplies; August gasoline imports from Turkey have been lowered by 90%. A sign that Iran might be drawing on stored supplies purchased when gasoline prices were experiencing a glut across the world. With all of this no wonder Ahmadinejad is not having trouble sleeping at night and can claim sanctions as torn pieces of paper.

Written by Amir Taheri

INA Nominates Abdul-Mahdi for Iraq Premier

The Iraqi National Alliance (INA) on Friday named Adel Abdul-Mahdi, Iraq's vice president, as its candidate for primer minister. Abdul-Mahdi, a Shia, has also served as Iraq’s treasury minister. The selection by the largest pro-Iran Shia coalition will put pressure on its alliance partner, the State of Law, to dump the current premier Nouri al-Maliki. The INA, which includes followers of Muqtada al-Sadr, opposes al-Maliki because of his leading role in US-Iraqi offensives in al-Sadr's strongholds of Basra and Baghdad's Sadr City.

Ebrahim al-Jafari, a former Iraqi premier and a candidate for the post himself, and Ahmad Chalabi, the controversial politician, both voiced opposition to INA’s selection. But Ayad Al-Alawi, the head of a Sunni-backed alliance that received the most votes in the elections, said he would consider the Abdul-Mahdi’s candidacy.

Friday, September 3, 2010

Karroubi Under Siege


Above: Hojjat ol-Eslam Mehdi Karroubi
Below: Karroubi's residence. Anti-Karrubi graffiti written on the walls

A large group of Basijis has gathered outside the house of one of Iran's opposition leaders, Hojjat ol-Eslam Mehdi Karroubi, in Tehran, preventing him from leaving his residence to participate in today’s Quds Day marches. The government is concerned that Karroubi’s presence on the streets of Tehran might incite anti-government and pro-Green demonstrations in Tehran.

Top photo: File photo, Press TV

Bottom photo: AP

Iran Celebrates Quds Day



Iran Celebrates Quds (Jerusalem) Day
Tehran. 3 September 2010
Bottom photo: Radical chic displaying Palestinian flag

Photos: Hamid Forootan, ISNA

Thursday, September 2, 2010

Egypt Cancels Mottaki’s Visit

Iranian Foreign Minister Manuchehr Mottaki

The Egyptian government today cancelled a scheduled visit to Cairo by Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki. The move was made after Mottaki harshly criticized the US-sponsored peace talks between the Palestinian and Israeli leaders underway in Washington, calling the Palestinian leader a “traitor.” Mottaki was to attend a meeting of non-aligned nations in Cairo.

The Egyptian President Hosni Mobarak, as well as the King of Jordan, is in Washington to support the peace talks. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas met with US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to start the latest peace talks between the two nations.

Security Forces Deployed in Tehran Ahead of Quds

Security Forces Deployed in Tehran Ahead of Quds Day's
Pro-Government Marches Scheduled for Friday 3 September
Tehran, 2 September 2010

Tehran will celebrate Quds (Jerusalem) Day on Friday. The security forces today staged a citywide exercise in Tehran, called Mahar (“Contain”). The forces are deployed throughout the city to contain any possible anti-government demonstrations by pro-Green sympathizers during the huge government-sponsored marches scheduled for the Quds Day.

Photo: Mehdi Ghasemi, ISNA

Wednesday, September 1, 2010

The Supremacy of Sports over Politics

Fans hold up Iranian and American flags with the word "Peace" in between before Iran-USA game. Istanbul, Turkey. 1 September 2010. AP Photo

The Iranian national basketball team fought hard today against the US team in Istanbul during the preliminary round of the World Basketball Championships. The Iranians did not prevail and the strong American team won the game. But the players warmly shook hands at the end of their first ever encounter. Let’s hope cooler heads prevail in both countries in the arena of politics as well.

Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Mahan Air: Against all Odds


BY Amir Taheri, Contributing Blogger

As Iran has been a land of surprises over the centuries, its airline industry is no exception. There have been many ups and downs over the years, but to say that the last 30 years have been tough on this industry is an understatement. Both due to internal and external reasons obstacles have been laid in the path of this important industry. Any Western airline CEO has to consider his job easy compared to his or her counterparts in Iran. One airline in Iran has stuck it out over the years and become quite successful in its own innovative business model, that airline is Mahan Air.

The early years

Started as the first private airline in 1991, Mahan's goal was simple, to provide air transport from their hometown of Kerman to the all-important capital city of Tehran. At the time, Iran had come out of the long war with Iraq that ended in 1988. Those long 8 years were especially not easy as they included plane highjacking, the usual dodging of missiles, and of course the infamous shooting down of the Airbus Iran Air in the late 80's by the USS Vincent killing all 290 people. So due to the overall lack of planes many cities were being overlooked by the major airlines at the time, Iran Air (the national airliner) and Iran Aseman Airlines.

Mahan Air quickly moved past its original goal and targeted being the number one airline in Iran. Then came the obstacles. For one, Iranian airlines can't buy American Boeing planes, which were the majority of the fleets bought when the Shah of Iran was the US's greatest ally in the Middle East. The second airliner the European Airbus, was also out of the picture as the US had passed new laws that forbid foreign airplane manufactures from selling planes to Iran that have a percentage of US parts. With the 2 major world manufactures not selling planes to Mahan, they started by leasing Russian Tupolev 154s. These were the workhorse planes of the Soviet Union and similar to the Boeing 757 but had become out dated and not a popular choice for most airlines. Secondly, the Iranian government regulated airline ticket prices and tickets were kept ridiculously low by world standards, whereas in the 1990s a flight from Tehran to Shiraz which, is a 1 hour and 20 minute flight, was selling for 27 dollars. While domestic flights were kept artificially low, International fights were freer to choose higher pricing. This was naturally the more profitable choice for Mahan. A third obstacle was not stepping on Iran Air's toes, which was the largest carrier and providing many state employees a job. Iran Air was barely breaking even by losing money on domestic routes and profiting on international routes to Europe and Asia to break even at the end of the day. So when new player Mahan came in, it was not going to be that easy to eat away at Iran Air's core profit. The national airline was already flying to most European cities where a large Iranian diasporas were using it to visit their families in Iran.

So with domestic routes unprofitable yet undermanned and the international routes bringing Iranians home to visit covered by Iran Air, Mahan set its own direction forward. It targeted what is called the Sixth Freedom Traffic (transiting people from one country to another using Iran as a stop-over) and finding new international routes that Iran Air was not flying to or routes that could accommodate a second Iranian airline to fly to. One problem here was Iran's law of requiring even foreign women to observe Iran's Islamic dress code while on Iranian soil.

Plowing through obstacles

To address the headscarf rule, Mahan turned on overdrive Iran's famous Persian hospitality. As passengers departed the plane for their 2-hour layover, Mahan presented each woman with a silk white scarf to liberally place on their heads. Additionally everyone was given a small gift (chocolates or famous Persian pistachio). Exiting each passenger was guided to the business lounge where they could wait with small snacks or drinks, and given an airport voucher to buy themselves a gift from duty free shops with their 2 hour wait. As of yet, no one has complained of the scarf rule. Secondly to buy new planes, Mahan took advantage of an exception to the rule. Third countries could sell their used US or European planes to Iran as long as it was at least 7 years old. Going on a shopping spree, Mahan bought a range of new planes including mostly wide body planes of Jumbo 747 Boeings, Airbus long range 310s and the popular Airbus 300-600s. Mahan ended up choosing two major airports for its transit of passengers through Iran, Birmingham in the UK and Dusseldorf in Germany. Today it flys Indian expats home to India from the UK and also offers Europeans a transit to Bangkok through Tehran. These routes are now its busiest as are taking Iranian holiday seekers to many locations in Asia including Bangkok, Kuala Lumpur and Europe. It also built its own extensive maintenance hanger where it does major overhauls on its planes. Recently, it has started remodeling its interior cabins using personalized seating provided by a German airline seating company. Future plans include improved in-flight Entertainment and wireless headphones. Also, it was the first Iranian airline to offer business seating on its domestic flights. The industry has been able to convince the government that ticket prices needed to be raised and the government agreed. That same 1 hour 20 minute flight now costs a little over 100 dollars. Mahan has played its part by increasing its domestic coverage to daily and multi-daily fights between Iran's major cities.

Mahan is no Emirates but with all its problems it has managed to become Iran's second largest airline and on its way to surpass Iran Air in passenger traffic. It now has 36 planes (mostly large wide body planes) and more on order. It will be expanding further to more International cities and is also looking into the growing Chinese market. The obstacles haven't gone away, for example the US government working with the UK has even tried seizing some of its jumbo planes that were purchased by third parties and legally sent to Iran. Also, with the latest sanctions by the US, it had to struggle to quickly find new suppliers in Europe for its jet fuel that BP and Shell interpreted to include Iranian airlines stopping over in Europe on their way to Iran. The US kept quiet and didn't mention to BP or Shell that their sanctions target was Iran's domestic auto industry. As sanctions restrict spare parts, Mahan has gone with the unconventional method of buying whole planes and scraping them for parts when unable to buy parts through third parties. Keep an eye out for this airline that would probably give anything to have the problems of airliners anywhere else in the world!

Photo: Mahan Air Promotional Material

Written by Amir Taheri, Contributing Blogger

Tehran Stock Exchange Surge: Bubble or Necessary Growth?

By Amir Taheri
Contributing Blogger

Iran has been in the headlines as of late for many things, nuclear negotiations, further sanctions by the UN, US and Europe, military developments, and human rights, but one headline that might be a stark contrast is Tehran Stock Exchange or TSE's rocket performance lately. It has been breaking its all time highs daily for the last couple of weeks and the World Federation of Exchanges has ranked the TSE as the second best performing in the first half of this year. With this in mind there has been speculation in the last couple of weeks on whether the TSE surge of nearly 60% (in the first half of this year) is forming a bubble or is simply healthy growth.

The TSE has come a long way from its start in 1967 when only 6 companies were listed to today’s 420 and a market capitalization of over $80 billion dollars. The market is a combination of state firms, semi-state firms, and private firms trading daily Saturday to Wednesday.

Critics will say...

Critics of the current boom will say that state firms are simply buying up shares to increase prices but this logic does not answer why around 2004 when the market started sliding and stayed depressed for a few years those same state firms did not do the same thing and buy up shares to artificially raise prices. In reality it is much more complex. In 2004 an amendment to the constitution was made after years of attempts by parliament and arbitrary bodies to agree to changes. It was finally agreed by the Supreme leader of Iran that 80% of all government owned companies must be sold to the private sector. As most students of economics will know, the transition from state control to private ownership is easier said than done. The Soviet Union and East Germany are prime examples of how difficult this process can be. Finding individuals or organizations willing to fork over billions of dollars for massive state companies is no easy task in a country where private investors only owned 20% of the economy at the time. So understandably privatization was hitting roadblocks. The market started a slide as more companies started listing on the TSE. This slide was magnified as commodity prices started to nose dive as the world economy took a turn for the worst. Many of the largest listed firms where iron steel, other mineral, and cement firms that were seeing international prices reduced and therefore exports being effected.

So what changed?

A new head (Ali Saleh Abadi) of the stock exhange was named with a mission to turn things around, and that he did. Transparency was improved by forcing stringent new rules on companies that are listed and requiring financial data available for investors, an electronic system was set up for tracing market abuse, and insider trading with fines or imprisonment for law breakers, new systems were also set up recently to handle large numbers of transactions. The first ever futures contracts were established on July 23th starting with 2 private banks. This was targeted towards foreign investors wanting to take advantage of the rapid surge. Further supporting foreign investors have been new rules scraping prior requirements of keeping investments in Iran for 2 years and can now be removed at any time.

Reasons for growth

The reasons for growth are multifold. As property prices in Iran have stayed stagnant over the last 2-3 years, this highest return on investment in the last couple of years has forced investors to look for new places for their cash and with inflation at 9.1% as of July 22nd, the returns have to be good. The TSE has rebounded since last year as commodity prices regained their march upwards as the economies of China and India are racing ahead and needing raw materials like steel and cement. Additionally, Iran is facing 4 rounds of UN sanctions and US and European unilateral sanctions targeting for one the financial sector, this has caused many Iranian investors to pull back their money home where it is safe from being frozen. Also, as the markets of Dubai started crashing both in their real-estate and their many extreme projects including man made islands and in door skiing malls, Iranian investors were burned. Iranian investments have been estimated fueling roughly 30% projects in Dubai. Having the chaos of the election turmoil of 2009 quieted down, investors are feeling safer to venture out with their money. One last major reason is, Iran is quite different than the Iran of 2004 that set out trying to private 80% of its economy. Today, private banks are much larger and stronger with increased capital to invest. Mutual funds were introduced a couple of years ago drawing in funds from small and medium investors. Pension funds in Iran are also somewhat different from other countries. As the state had large amounts of debt owed to these pension funds, instead of transferring cash, there has been a stock for debt exchange made, and with dividend returns paying relatively high returns (13% quoted by the Financial Times) these pension funds will be well funded for the next couple of years.

What does the future hold?

The government has said they want to sell another $50 billion in government assets in the future to meet their goals. With local investors gaining and looking for further returns, regional investors sitting on billions of dollars of oil capital that have no better place with such returns as what the TSE offers, and a stock market capitalization of $80 billion for an economy of $335 billion GDP and a more internationally acceptable GDP PPP of $876 billion the potential for growth is enormous. The overall market is trading at a weighted average price to earnings (PE) ratio of 6.2 times, close to its historical average of 6 times. Some companies are trading at double-digit PE ratios, according to Ramin Rabii, managing director of Turquoise Partners, the Tehran-based fund manager (Financial Times). With these realities don't expect to stop seeing the TSE continue to set new records.

Written by Amir Taheri, Contributing Blogger

Monday, August 30, 2010

Former Tehran Prosecutor to Face Trial on Murder Charges

The Iranian Judiciary today suspended Tehran's notorious former prosecutor Saeed Mortazavi and two judges over the deaths of three protesters last year in Kahrizak jail during the height of the Green Movement. The victims, Mohammad Kamrani, Amir Javadifar and Mohsen Ruholamini, were killed in prison under torture. One of the victims, Mohsen Ruholamini, was the son of a leading figure in the Islamic Republic. They were protesting against President Ahmadinejad’s disputed victory in his reelection.

After the reports of serious wrongdoing at Kahrizak spread in Tehran, the prison was closed down on the order of the supreme leader and Mortazavi was removed from his post as Tehran’s prosecutor. But Ahmadinejad immediately appointed him as the head of Iran’s anti-narcotic force. The suspension of Mortazavi today by the judiciary from the latter post would pave the way for his trial on charges of murder.

Mortazavi was also believed to be involved in the death of the Iranian-Canadian photographer Zahra Kazemi who died in custody in 2003. During his six years as Tehran prosecutor, Mortazavi was also responsible for shutting down dozens of reformist publications and jailing journalists.

Tehran Stocks Hit Record High

The Tehran Stock Exchange today hit a record high, up nearly 4 percent in two days. The benchmark index rose to more than 17900 on Monday, pushing the exchange's total value to more than $80 billion, up from $70 billion in mid-July (AP, 30 August).

The recent sharp rise in stock index is thought to be driven by state-run firms trading in each other’s stocks and purchasing the IPO shares of newly “privatized” state-owned companies.

Mehdi Samii, Central Banker and Elder Statesman, Dies in Los Angeles

By Nader Uskowi

Mehdi Samii, a member of the intellectual and political elites during the Shah’s era, died in Los Angeles in early August at the age of 92. Samii was a prominent banker and central planner and was the long-time director of Iran’s Central Bank and the country’s influential Plan Organization. Samii was the grandson of Adib-ol Saltaneh, a leading statesman during the Qajar and Reza Shah era, and the son of Nabil-ol Molk, a leading figure of the prominent Samii family in Rasht.

Samii’s directorship of the Central Bank coincided with the tenure of other prominent figures running the country’s economy in 1960s and 70s. Among them were Alinaghi Alikhani, the minister of economy; Safi Asfia, the director of Plan Organization; and Abolqasem Kheradjoo, the director of the Bank of Industries and Mines. Together they led Iran’s economy during one of its golden periods.

Sadly, the city of Rasht lost three of its prominent sons this month: Mehdi Samii; Ali Behzadi, a senior journalist and former editor of Sepid-O-Siah, who died at the age of 85 in Tehran; and Bahman Mohasses, a popular painter and sculpturist, who died at the age of 79 in Rome.

I was related to Mehdi Samii. He was a cousin of my mother, Soraya “Mimi” Samii. I extend my belated condolences, due to traveling and lack of easy access to the Internet, to Mehdi Samii’s family and to all students of Iran’s economy and politics. Also my condolences to the people of Rasht for loosing three prominent sons in a single month.