tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post8749547955121715287..comments2024-03-10T22:24:34.032-04:00Comments on Uskowi on Iran - اسکویی در باره ایران: Iran Not Ready to Approve Nuclear Deal – Despite Russian PressureNader Uskowihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02808543185109048956noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-36927725377729668642009-11-03T09:32:08.888-05:002009-11-03T09:32:08.888-05:00Mark,
I doubt very much if Mousavi’s and the Gree...Mark,<br /><br />I doubt very much if Mousavi’s and the Green movement’s stand on nuclear deal would be a serious factor in government’s decision to reject or accept the proposed nuclear deal. The rift we need to pay attention to is among the conservative politicians. Iran’s representative to Vienna talk was a mid-level bureaucrat and could not possibly have agreed on the proposed deal on his own. There is a very strong tendency within the current government to use this opportunity to strike a “grand bargain” with the US. Khamenei is against such grand bargain. His east-ward looking foreign policy precludes, or at least minimizes the importance, of the normalization of relations with the US. The fight undergoing in Tehran is not just about the nuclear deal, but the larger question of Iran’s future relations with the West, and particularly with the US. If one believes it’s best for Iran’s national interests to continue the status quo, then this nuclear deal needs to be rejected. If one thinks that Iran’s national interests dictates taking advantage of Obama’s coming to power in the US and striking a “grand bargain” with the new administration, then working out a nuclear deal, with some reasonable adjustments and revisions, is the way to go.Nader Uskowihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02808543185109048956noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-87304050255894317962009-11-02T23:40:35.371-05:002009-11-02T23:40:35.371-05:00Nader, Mousavi and his green movement have even co...Nader, Mousavi and his green movement have even come out publicly rejecting the deal, as it now stands, so it's not just the hardliners that have come out in opposition. Opposition and skepticism is being voiced from all ends of Iran's political spectrum.<br /><br />One suggestion now being floated is that Iran's LEU be shipped out after nuclear fuel has been successfully delivered to Iran. This arrangement would, in theory, only cause a delay of a few months for the LEU transfer being proposed by the West (which is Jan. 15), and would address Iran's own legitimate confidence-gaining concerns.<br /><br />I'm inclined to agree with another blogger, that Iran doesn't need this deal as much as the West thinks it does, and that any potential threat of sanctions do not figure into their decision making, the way some US foreign policy officials believe they do.<br /><br />Anyone familiar with the way Iran has responded to threats and demands over the past thirty years, should in no way be surprised by Iran's current position in this ongoing nuclear negotiation. And it just may be that privately, a political consensus has not been achieved with which to present Khamenei the means of rendering a decision. After all, Iran is not a totalitarian state, as some may like to suggest. In the meantime, who knows? Maybe better terms will come along. This now seems to be Iran's way forward.Mark Pyruzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00595161519097596575noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-50058361583734236182009-11-02T21:09:06.389-05:002009-11-02T21:09:06.389-05:00Iran should not bend over to western demand, inste...Iran should not bend over to western demand, instead, should show goodwill by opening up to IAEA volunteering for more routine checkups. No where in the NPT it is statet that a new-comer should be obedient to the demand of superpowers to show goodwill, nor does it make sense.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com