tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post718528395271102755..comments2024-03-10T22:24:34.032-04:00Comments on Uskowi on Iran - اسکویی در باره ایران: Jalula: Islamic State Closest Ever to IranNader Uskowihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02808543185109048956noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-33537393080289734332014-08-17T13:33:23.075-04:002014-08-17T13:33:23.075-04:00Khanaqin is the last stop within Iraqi territory w...Khanaqin is the last stop within Iraqi territory whereafter the next stop is Qasr-e-shirin inside Iran and the old MEK invasion route that leads directly to the Akhoond's nest. MEK advanced 140km to the gates of Kermanshah. It was by all measures the deepest penetration made by anyone ever during the length of the 8 year war. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-89156416793049756752014-08-17T09:40:58.212-04:002014-08-17T09:40:58.212-04:00The Iranian military have not undertaken large-sca...The Iranian military have not undertaken large-scale ground operations in a long time, and they are probably taking defensive positions at the border at this time against any external threat. That can change if IS fighter were to mount an offensive, with or without the help of Iranian Sunni groups, inside Iran. <br /><br />The Islamic State has proven to be capable to use opportunities to get active or tacit support of population and regional actors. They would not move against any targets inside Iran unless they calculated that such move would potentially break the emerging coalition of Iran and regional actors and the U.S. against them. They might even get active support of players like the Saudis if they take such move.Nader Uskowihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02808543185109048956noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-50437481441054764302014-08-17T02:51:47.334-04:002014-08-17T02:51:47.334-04:00what will Iran do?
will it mass men and equipment...what will Iran do?<br /><br />will it mass men and equipment and move into Iraq or will it assume a defensive posture?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-29403214442349421612014-08-17T01:25:15.189-04:002014-08-17T01:25:15.189-04:00Mark, the point was that the Iraqi military with t...Mark, the point was that the Iraqi military with the help from Shia militias could not retake Tikrit, and they threw their best at the operation: elite Special Forces, the army division renowned for the integrity of its commanders, armor columns, close air support, plus a large number of Shia militias. That attempt, call it offensive or counterattack was the first and the last operation by the Iraqis to retake lost territories, and they lost badly, even though they had by far superior forces. It's tough for them to fight a mobile force like the IS that easily, hence IS's advances in the past two months.<br /><br />Now in Jalula, the situation could be different. The Iranians might throw in much more support, as they are probably genuinely concerned with the IS threatening the Iranian territory. This counter attack might not happen very soon, probably the Iraqis and Iranians waiting to see if the IS moves out of Jalula toward Khanaqin and closer to Iran. But interesting to watch the developments in the next days and weeks.Nader Uskowihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02808543185109048956noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-3889337543480041812014-08-16T17:45:47.695-04:002014-08-16T17:45:47.695-04:00Technically speaking, that wasn't a genuine &q...Technically speaking, that wasn't a genuine "offensive" or even counteroffensive into Tikrit. Technically, that was a reinforced counterattack. <br /><br />It is likely that should Iraqi forces make a move to retake Jalula, that also would be a reinforced counterattack. Mark Pyruzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00595161519097596575noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-23415271611421050052014-08-16T14:34:08.275-04:002014-08-16T14:34:08.275-04:00Baffling and devilish at the same time.A bunch of ...Baffling and devilish at the same time.A bunch of men on pickup trucks defeats jets helicopters and tanks.Very fishy indeed. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com