tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post6562236081279847584..comments2024-03-10T22:24:34.032-04:00Comments on Uskowi on Iran - اسکویی در باره ایران: U.S. airstrikes, the next Iraqi Prime Minister and IranNader Uskowihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02808543185109048956noreply@blogger.comBlogger15125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-8176626229031855232014-06-22T20:53:09.017-04:002014-06-22T20:53:09.017-04:00Except that I wasn't referring to the existenc...Except that I wasn't referring to the existence of the sectarian strife itself, which obviously, is established, violent, bloody, terrible fact now for all to see. (created in great part by your beloved Americans before Saudis and Iranians even started to worsen the situation, but that's another topic) but rather your quite optimistic assertion stipulating that the US "simply has to wait for Iranian supply routes to Syria be closed". Even if it has to happen on the long run, the situation on the ground is way too chaotic and unpredictable to be so confident and condescending by claiming one outcome or the other, that is all I'm saying, my friend. Time will tell who "wins" and who "loses" aside from Iraqis themselves, big losers already for quite some time, as you say.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-53991693448328871632014-06-22T18:03:07.968-04:002014-06-22T18:03:07.968-04:00I didn't dream up the sectarian strife in Iraq...I didn't dream up the sectarian strife in Iraq, my friend.<br /><br />it's real and it's been going on for quite some time...... that it's now intensifying is not a product of my imagination.ufredhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14231685919877237814noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-67467787494505457072014-06-22T09:38:40.259-04:002014-06-22T09:38:40.259-04:00In ufred's daily dreams, maybe. Reality will b...In ufred's daily dreams, maybe. Reality will be otherwise though I'm afraid.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-53829545111191649962014-06-22T01:35:32.399-04:002014-06-22T01:35:32.399-04:00all the US has to do is nothing and Iraq will be c...all the US has to do is nothing and Iraq will be closed, in whole or part, to Iranian arm shipments to Syria via land.ufredhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14231685919877237814noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-75612621038468358982014-06-20T12:41:48.374-04:002014-06-20T12:41:48.374-04:00We are in aggreement on the 2003 invasion issue. T...We are in aggreement on the 2003 invasion issue. To the exception in my mind that the US is wrong by playing in such an opportunistic way, exchanging help for the Iraqi people with its interests in the region once more, used as a wild card it suddenly gets out of its sleeve. Indeed, taking advantage of a desperate government/situation that you contributed to create in the first place is never right. You cannot fully separate the issue of US invasion and occupation and the dire situation the country and region are facing now, notwithstanding additional players such as Saudis and Iranians coming into play to fill the power vacuum and being as nonconstructive and reckless towards Iraqi national integrity as George W. Bush was. Obama knows full well that Maliki cannot decently turn to anyone but them on the long run and avoid attrition, it is hypocritical to react in the way they, posturing as condescending moralist patrons once again. They just have to wait until Maliki is overthrown or pushed slowly out of power by the predicable worsening of the current tide.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-61797363483179720292014-06-20T10:22:03.711-04:002014-06-20T10:22:03.711-04:00sorry, but it's Iraq begging for the military ...sorry, but it's Iraq begging for the military aid after Maliki insisted that the US military leave. it's Maliki who doesn't command the loyalty of the Iraqi army. it's Maliki who is incompetent and corrupt and who has failed.<br /><br />the US was entirely wrong to invade iraq but has no obligation to return and has every reason to withhold military aid unless the US gets something in return.ufredhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14231685919877237814noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-71070360344047685612014-06-20T10:03:30.365-04:002014-06-20T10:03:30.365-04:00Yes you are absolutely right, a bombing campaign i...Yes you are absolutely right, a bombing campaign is only good at preparing the breeding ground for Al-Qaida appearance, rise and ultimately dominance over the course of time. A good lesson to be taken by Obama. But wait, weren't there ground troops as well over these same 10 years ?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-8789407157851459482014-06-20T10:01:11.627-04:002014-06-20T10:01:11.627-04:00I tend to agree Anon 6:57. I was among the first t...I tend to agree Anon 6:57. I was among the first to openly call for whatever external or internal force that could put at least a temporary halt on ISIL's catastrophically rapid progress in the face of Iraqi security forces, including US strikes... It didn't take me 24 hours to retract it considering the ongoing recuperation the White House seems to be trying to achieve , again making it clear that the fate of ordinary Iraqis is of a lesser importance to their calculus than it was in 2003 and even worse, dangerously turned into a blackmailing tools along with the very existence of the country, against the very person of Maliki. The clock is ticking and every inch of progress ISIL makes will be more facts on the ground that have the potential to alter the geopolitical balance of the region for the long-term and so for the worse, obviously, and yet we see Obama trying to buy time and literally play with fire in order to influence US agendas in-country rather than urgently stop the current bleeding of the Iraqi state with no other considerations... some decision-makers will simply never learn...<br /><br />-AAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-4520178719345582202014-06-20T09:05:18.749-04:002014-06-20T09:05:18.749-04:00 to think US can disconnect Iranian QF links in Ir... to think US can disconnect Iranian QF links in Iraq or transit system through IRaq to Syria is a dream. Iran will fight it and prevent it from happening. dreamers!Kemjikahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14864036923452534841noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-76854626665742216332014-06-20T07:37:24.400-04:002014-06-20T07:37:24.400-04:00Of course ufred, you're always into prefering ...Of course ufred, you're always into prefering US-supported dictatorships and puppets over anti-US dictatorships and puppets. we know, no need to worry or take the care of making it clear every time. Let's just bomb the hell lf out Iraq, kick out Maliki, put in some pro-US puppet in his place and sing "Mission Accomplished" in chorus on an aircraft carrier's deck.. Oh wait. Some madman did it in 2003 already. And 8 years after and hundreds of thousands of Iraqi deaths later, its army departed from a devastated country, and "Al-Qaeda corp."came in. That must be the solution. Pax Americana for the win and let's silence and crush any plural solution.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-75076588574598760362014-06-20T06:57:57.114-04:002014-06-20T06:57:57.114-04:00What's going on with u guys. U are really talk... What's going on with u guys. U are really talking and discussing about democratic for iraq and then u think its legitimate to force the legal government to step down for getting a airstrike support? Im really wondering.<br />And two years ago even when ppl go out and wanted change 9f government in Bahrain it was ok when saudi arabia sent troops to beat them. What a crazy world. A foreign country s government can openly make such conditions for helping another country's government. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-45509536964219341942014-06-20T04:15:53.306-04:002014-06-20T04:15:53.306-04:00a bomb Compaign, can not stop the Jihadist , Terro...a bomb Compaign, can not stop the Jihadist , Terrorist.<br />It was never successful in the past 10 Years<br />You need Ground-Troops to stop them <br />I believe the obama is more wise than Mark Pyroz Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-68932354276628267312014-06-19T22:50:01.775-04:002014-06-19T22:50:01.775-04:00I support the use of US airpower against the ISIL ...I support the use of US airpower against the ISIL insurgents and any Iranian troops in Iraq.<br />I also support the right of the US to condition US help on getting rid of that incompetent and corrupt idiot Maliki and closing Iraqi airspace to Iranian military aid to the Assad dictatorshipufredhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14231685919877237814noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-60807611247773142082014-06-19T21:57:15.800-04:002014-06-19T21:57:15.800-04:00Mark,
I globally agree with the main points you m...Mark,<br /><br />I globally agree with the main points you make with regards to the possible Iranian reaction potentially arising would the US push for both extremes of their approach. But there is a case that you have been consistently been making towards the limited capabilities of the Iranian military air branch to mount sustained CAS missions during a hypothetical air war against ISIL. While I do adhere to the idea that despite several modernization and overhaul campaign effectuated over the last 10 years by Iranian and foreign technicians , the IRIAF's current operational status does not make it suitable for such a war, Iran's aeronautics industry not having the current logistical guts to support a prolonged war effort it for now.<br /><br />But can't the armed forces compensate for such as faulty dimension by relying on their most accurate ballistic assets (notably their SRBMs available in large numbers and in range of needed parts of Iraq) specially developed with that doctrine in mind and reportedly widely used in helping Syria knock out concentrations of forces and local HQs of Al-Nusra in Syria ? secondly, is that perceived inability of its conventional forces truly the real determining factor behind the current apparent restraint and hesitancy towards concrete involvement in your opinion ? are they not rather out of political wariness of getting embroiled into another long-lasting proxy conflict straining their already fragile budget even further ? ISIL forces have nowhere near the need firepower to take on Iran directly and the IRI government has made it clear that it won't allow them to cross the 100km line away from its borders, a fact denoted on this blog on several occasions, and does not in its current state present a requirement for anything other than highly selective and targeted strikes contemplated by the Obama administration, and Iran could make perfect use of its most modern drone combined with squadrons of Su-24s, Su-25s and F4s to perform surgical strikes wherever deemed necessary, since they have a demonstrated ability to work in tandem in such a way. Indeed, we are certainly not talking about the huge resources and manpower needed within the framework of a massive Alpha strike, Kaman-99 kind of deployment, are we ?<br /><br />Plus, considering the proximity of the aforementioned squadrons in airbase historically close to Iraq's border, and the possibility for Iran to pre-position the bulk of the needed bomber squadrons in advance lifts a lot of logistical weight in the event hostilities lead decision makers to green-light air operations.<br /><br />Just asking, I have no more than open source documentation available , obtained on the corners of specialized websites to put forward my personal assertions.<br /><br /><br />-AAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-84617178220456866422014-06-19T20:41:07.100-04:002014-06-19T20:41:07.100-04:00Mark you are usually on point but I have to disagr...Mark you are usually on point but I have to disagree with you.<br /><br />A new government will not go through because no one group within iraq would recognize it. And the ISIL folks are not looking for a new more sunni premier. <br /><br />The way i see it, the u.s. has just committed the biggest strategical blunder yet. <br /><br /> By not supporting the Shias and Maliki, they are pushing the majority of Iraq population into the open arms of iran. <br /><br />As demonstrated in syria, Iranian advisors are sufficient to Train and equip the Shia militia to confront the ISIL.<br /><br />All of this while the Iranians reverse engineer the M1 Abrams, apache choppers and the F- 16s. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com