tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post6532682081565693467..comments2024-03-10T22:24:34.032-04:00Comments on Uskowi on Iran - اسکویی در باره ایران: The schizophrenic policy advocacy of the new Rand Research BriefNader Uskowihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02808543185109048956noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-88474309919996536022011-06-09T01:00:37.875-04:002011-06-09T01:00:37.875-04:00Well this is embarrassing. I meant to comment on t...Well this is embarrassing. I meant to comment on this:<br /><br />Policy Choices for United States to Dissuade Iran from Developing Nuclear Weapons<br /><br />http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1087.html<br /><br />It will be uploaded shortly.Mark Pyruzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00595161519097596575noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-19705525005498963122011-06-08T17:16:47.547-04:002011-06-08T17:16:47.547-04:00How is this a "new" report? Its publicat...How is this a "new" report? Its publication date is 2009. Am I missing something?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-66985182047417556982011-06-08T07:05:53.758-04:002011-06-08T07:05:53.758-04:00When will the US and her tag-along friends realize...When will the US and her tag-along friends realize the policy of sanctions and pressure is so 19th century? <br /><br />In a fast changing world where nation state's interest supersedes "groupies" states interest, it's a stupid idea for a sovereign state to tie her core interest to that of another.<br /><br />Most of the European countries that obey unilateral US sanctions do so out of fear than their concern at the perceived "Iranian nuclear threat".<br /><br />Even if Iran where to give up all her nuclear ambitions, the US will still find another stick to beat Iran regardless. Iran actually suspended her nuclear program and got NOTHING in return from the west. Same could be said about North Korea - only that with the later, they detonated a nuclear device. <br /><br />I don't know but it seems to me the US always, with her short sightedness on strategic thinking, eventually paints herself into a corner every time regarding Iran. Iran's playing the long game here and is more than happy to see the US invest so much political and economic capital to pressure Iran only to end up with nothing concrete.<br /><br />My belief, however, is that Iran is deliberately prolonging this nuclear saga to weaken the US politically as the US have already exhausted so much political and economic capital to bring the Chinese and Russians on-board. The Chinese and Russians always laugh their way to the bank every time Iran's nuclear issue is brought before the UNSC - that's where they make the killing and you can always count on the US and her friends to keep giving.<br /><br />The cost/benefit analysis is really not worth it for the US. Trade between Iran, China and Russia isn't going to stop because the US says so and the Russians and Chinese won't back any UN sanctions that hurts their trade ties with Iran. The Chinese and Russians know very well Iran is not developing nukes and that the whole thing is politicized - but they play along to gain more from the west. Iran has enough conventional capabilities to level enough countries in the region.<br /><br />The longer it drags on, the more people begin to see the unrealistic US approach to the nuclear issue. In the meantime, the centrifuges keep spinning.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-61732117054048830072011-06-08T05:09:27.815-04:002011-06-08T05:09:27.815-04:00Reader, I fixed the link.Reader, I fixed the link.Mark Pyruzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00595161519097596575noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5169130203475264933.post-74841584950584649632011-06-07T15:27:49.791-04:002011-06-07T15:27:49.791-04:00Mark
Unfortunately the link to the Rand report re...Mark<br /><br />Unfortunately the link to the Rand report returns “No page found error 404” but based on your summary, I am astonished at the depth of ignorance shown by the authors of this policy. <br /><br />“<b><i>Continue strengthening</i></b> international <b><i>sanctions</i></b> and other financial pressures ..”<br />“<b><i>Pursue</i></b> bilateral <b><i>dialogues</i></b> …”<br />“<b><i>Engage</i></b> in efforts to build a multilateral ….”<br /><br />I wish someone could tell these mildly retarded researchers a bit about the Iranian psyche. This is not the way we do business … You just cannot hold us by the throat and expect engagement and dialogue … Hold you right hand on your chest and bow and then hold your breath for a positive response …readerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14905834905534059452noreply@blogger.com